Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.002662 0.002843 0.003038 0.003264 0.003524 0.003813 0.004164
2024-12-29 0.002421 0.002670 0.002957 0.003315 0.003758 0.004303 0.005042
2025-01-05 0.002203 0.002482 0.002816 0.003253 0.003830 0.004592 0.005736
2025-01-12 0.002018 0.002307 0.002661 0.003143 0.003807 0.004738 0.006255
2025-01-19 0.001912 0.002215 0.002596 0.003132 0.003905 0.005057 0.007120
2025-01-26 0.001751 0.002039 0.002406 0.002930 0.003700 0.004881 0.007093
2025-02-02 0.001695 0.001994 0.002383 0.002954 0.003825 0.005241 0.008156
2025-02-09 0.001669 0.001986 0.002407 0.003044 0.004061 0.005831 0.009971
2025-02-16 0.001622 0.001945 0.002382 0.003057 0.004174 0.006226 0.011594
2025-02-23 0.001609 0.001949 0.002419 0.003168 0.004464 0.007042 0.015113
2025-03-02 0.001552 0.001889 0.002360 0.003120 0.004467 0.007259 0.016955
2025-03-09 0.001495 0.001826 0.002292 0.003052 0.004424 0.007360 0.018505
2025-03-16 0.001470 0.001811 0.002298 0.003114 0.004649 0.008212 0.025632
2025-03-23 0.001445 0.001793 0.002300 0.003169 0.004876 0.009195 0.038906
2025-03-30 0.001395 0.001738 0.002241 0.003115 0.004870 0.009523 0.050053
2025-04-06 0.001339 0.001671 0.002160 0.003014 0.004748 0.009454 0.056403
2025-04-13 0.001307 0.001638 0.002131 0.003005 0.004826 0.010081 0.092147
2025-04-20 0.001237 0.001548 0.002007 0.002817 0.004481 0.009145 0.066508
2025-04-27 0.001218 0.001531 0.002000 0.002839 0.004619 0.009976 0.140165
2025-05-04 0.001213 0.001535 0.002024 0.002923 0.004915 0.011627 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001193 0.001517 0.002012 0.002935 0.005041 0.012707 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001192 0.001526 0.002045 0.003038 0.005421 0.015504 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001163 0.001492 0.002006 0.002994 0.005399 0.016038 NaN